OOS REPORT · 2024.01.01 → 2026.06.10

Out-of-Sample
Performance Dashboard

Headline performance: +144.5% over Jan 2024 to Jun 2026 (+44.2%/yr, Sharpe 1.20 +/- 0.64) vs +46.0% for holding BTC, paper-traded net of costs and funding.

2026 YTD Split: BTC Book +54.0% (Sharpe 2.39) | ETH Book +35.3% (Sharpe 1.82) with realized volatility of 41.6% (Sharpe SE +/-1.51).

Universe
BTC, ETH Only
Window Config
30d scoring window, weekly refit
Total 4h Bars
5,347
Last Updated
2026-06-10
Net Sharpe
1.20
+/- 0.64 Sharpe SE
Max DD
-28.0%
Peak to Trough
CAGR
44.2%
Compound Annual
Cumulative Return
144.5%
Full Period Return
Hold BTC Return
46.0%
Continuous Buy & Hold
Hold ETH Return
-27.8%
Continuous Buy & Hold

Interactive Performance Chart

Walk-Forward Equity, Drawdown, and Weekly Decisions

Per-Year Performance

Standalone frozen replays vs Buy & Hold
Period System Return Max DD Sharpe Hold BTC Return Hold ETH Return
2024 +16.5% -28.0% 0.60 +121.1% +46.8%
2025 +54.5% -11.9% 1.52 -6.6% -11.4%
2026 YTD (dev period) +45.1% -21.3% 2.25 -29.7% -44.9%
Full Period (Walk-Forward) +144.5% -28.0% 1.20 +/- 0.64 +46.0% -27.8%

Recent Weekly Decisions

Ensemble configuration family weights
Week Starting BTC Book Active Family ETH Book Active Family
2026-06-08 trend trend
2026-06-01 trend trend
2026-05-25 trend trend
2026-05-18 trend trend
2026-05-11 trend trend
2026-05-04 trend trend
2026-04-27 trend trend
2026-04-20 trend mixed
2026-04-13 mean-reversion mean-reversion
2026-04-06 mean-reversion mean-reversion

Paper-traded research for methodological transparency. Not investment advice. Weekly picks shown at signal-family level only.

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© 2026 · Walk-Forward Crypto · MIT License